Analysis of Factors that Affect the Movement of Gold’s Price as Investment Alternatives in Indonesia
This study examined the dominant factors that affecting the price of gold. The factors examined are London Gold price returns, the return rate of USD—INR, JCI return, inflation rate, and the return of the EURO—USD currency, which individually or simultaneously can affect the price of gold. The purpose of this study was to investigate how influence the factors that are considered to affect the fluctuation of gold prices and gold prices predicted for the next period which can be used by investors to seek alternative investment to be made. The results will provide information to investors about gold price forecast both long-term and short-term. This study uses secondary data taken from several websites. Further data have been obtained, processed using the method of Multiple Linear Regression Model and the ECM with GARCH models, using e-views 8 and SPSS 22. As for the results obtained from the processing of the data is simultaneously the influence of variable returns no London Gold price, return rate USD—CAD, JCI return, inflation rate, and the return of the EURO currency—USD, with the return of gold in Indonesia. Individually, the variable returns the London Gold price and exchange rate USD—CAD who have an influence on the return of gold prices in Indonesia.
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Document Type: Research Article
Publication date: April 1, 2015
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