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Estimation of Wind Power Potential Using Weibull Distribution

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The main objective of the present study is to estimate wind power potential using the two Weibull parameters of the wind speed distribution function, the shape parameter k (dimensionless) and the scale parameter c ( m / s ). In this regard, a methodology that uses three various techniques (maximum likelihood, least squares, and method of moments) for estimating the Weibull parameters was given first. The methodology was then applied to a region in Turkey. Finally, the parameter techniques were compared to Monte-Carlo simulation in different sample sizes, and the best parameter estimation techniques belonging to the sample sizes were also determined.
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Keywords: Weibull distribution; Weibull parameters; least squares; maximum likelihood; method of moments; wind data; wind energy systems; wind power

Document Type: Research Article

Affiliations: 1: Department of Statistics, Sciences and Art Faculty, Selcuk University, Konya, Turkey 2: Department of Mathematics, Sciences and Art Faculty, Selcuk University, Konya, Turkey 3: Department of Mechanical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Ege University, Izmir, Turkey 4: Solar Energy Institute, Ege University, Izmir, Turkey

Publication date: July 1, 2005

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