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Regression analyses on the butterfly ballot effect: a statistical perspective of the US 2000 election

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The year 2000 US presidential election between Al Gore and George Bush has been the most intriguing and controversial one in American history. The state of Florida was the trigger for the controversy, mainly, due to the use of the misleading 'butterfly ballot'. Using prediction (or confidence) intervals for least squares regression lines on the Florida election data, under some reasonable assumption, this author concludes that the ambiguity with regards to the butterfly ballot does have a significant impact on the final election result.
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Document Type: Research Article

Publication date: March 1, 2002

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