Precarious employment is a serious social problem, especially in those countries, such as Italy, where there are limited benefits from social security. We investigate this phenomenon by analysing the initial part of the career of employees starting with unstable contracts for a panel
of Italian workers. Our aim is to estimate the probability of getting a stable job and to detect factors influencing both this probability and the duration of precariousness. To answer these questions, we use an ad hoc mixture cure rate model in a Bayesian framework.
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mixture cure models;
structured variable selection;
Document Type: Research Article
Dipartimento di Malattie Infettive e Sanità Pubblica,Sapienza - Università di Roma, Roma, Italy
Dipartimento di Matematica,Università di Roma - Tor Vergata, Roma, Italy
Dipartimento di Economia,Facoltá di Scienze Politiche; Universitá degli Studi di Teramo, Teramo, Italy
Publication date: November 1, 2011