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Export diversification, mean-reversion of exports, and stability of export–growth causality

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This study proposes a five-step statistical procedure to examine a linkage among export diversification, mean-reversion of exports, and stability of the export–growth causality. This linkage was assessed for France, Norway, and Switzerland between 1980Q1 and 2016Q4. The findings indicated that the mean-reversion tendency of the export sectors in France and Switzerland was stronger than in Norway, which highlighted the important role of export activities for economic growth in France and Switzerland. Also, the causal relationship between exports and economic growth in Norway was found to be more unstable than in France, but more stable than in Switzerland.
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Keywords: Export diversification; mean-reversion of exports; stability of export–growth causality

Document Type: Research Article

Affiliations: 1: Asia–Europe Institute, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 2: Department of Economics, Pennsylvania State University at Mont Alto, Mont Alto, Pennsylvania, USA 3: Department of Economics, Institute of Business Administration, Karachi, Pakistan

Publication date: May 4, 2019

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