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Exports-led growth or growth-led exports in the case of China and Pakistan: An empirical investigation from the ARDL and Granger causality approach

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There are various factors that determine and influence economic growth. From these, one of the most significant factors is exports, which play a vital role in the economic growth and development of a country. Trade theory states that exports enhance the growth of a domestic economy in various ways. This study attempts to empirically investigate the existence of the exports-led-growth (ELG) or growth-led-exports (GLE) hypotheses by adopting comparatively more contemporary techniques as compared to earlier classical approaches for China and Pakistan for the period of 1980 to 2015. The study found the existence of ELG for both China and Pakistan.
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Keywords: ARDL approach; Granger causality approach; Johansen and ARDL co-integration andlong-form tests; exports-led-growth hypothesis; stability and diagnostic analysis

Document Type: Research Article

Affiliations: School of Economics, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, P.R. China

Publication date: May 27, 2018

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