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An empirical model for estimating berth and sailing times of mega container ships

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We provide two empirical models for calculating the sailing time and berth time of maritime container liner networks to effectively model the ambiguity associated with sea and port contingency for ex-ante decisions of fleet deployment and route planning. The models are based on recorded AIS data of 110 mega vessels including all the operating container mega vessels with a capacity of 16,000 TEU or more during the summer of 2015. The models are able to estimate the sailing time (with R 2 of 0.974) and the berth time (with R 2 of 0.895) without knowledge of any operational-level explanatory variables. The models are validated against the published East Asia–North Europe services. Moreover, the study reveals that vessel operators adopt different berthing and sailing strategies even under the same conditions.
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Keywords: Container; berth time; liner shipping; mega vessel; sailing speed

Document Type: Research Article

Affiliations: 1: Department of Industrial Engineering, Zagazig University, Zagazig, Egypt 2: Department of Industrial Engineering and Logistics Management, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China

Publication date: November 17, 2018

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