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Measuring the effectiveness of strategies and quantifying players' performance in football

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Abstract:

Earlier work in the area of measuring the effectiveness of playing strategies at football is extended in this paper. A procedure to estimate the probability of scoring and conceding a goal as a result of an open play or a set play action taken in a given area of the field by a player who is or is not under pressure from the opposition is proposed. The method is applied to a set of real data gathered using a specially devised hand notation system. Example application to choosing rational and optimal decisions in a given situation is provided, as well as to identification of strengths and weaknesses of a particular team. Net impact of each action on the probability of scoring a goal for each team is used to quantify players' impact on the result of the game.

Keywords: FOOTBALL TACTICS; GOAL CHANCES CREATION; MATCH ANALYSIS; NOTATION SYSTEM; RISKY AND CONSERVATIVE STRATEGY

Document Type: Research Article

Publication date: July 1, 2008

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uwic/ujpa/2008/00000008/00000002/art00007
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