Recommended Practice Regarding Selection of Sensitivity Analysis Methods Applied to Microbial Food Safety Process Risk Models

Authors: Mokhtari, Amirhossein1; Frey, H.1

Source: Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, Volume 11, Number 3, Number 3/Jun 2005 , pp. 591-605(15)

Publisher: Taylor and Francis Ltd

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Abstract:

A guideline is presented for selection of sensitivity analysis methods applied to microbial food safety process risk (MFSPR) models. The guideline provides useful boundaries and principles for selecting sensitivity analysis methods for MSFPR models. Although the guideline is predicated on a specific branch of risk assessment models related to food-borne diseases, the principles and recommendations provided are typically generally applicable to other types of risk models. Applicable situations include: prioritizing potential critical control points; identifying key sources of variability and uncertainty; and refinement, verification, and validation of a model. Based on the objective of the analysis, characteristics of the model under study, amount of detail expected from sensitivity analysis, and characteristics of the sensitivity analysis method, recommendations for selection of sensitivity analysis methods are provided. A decision framework for method selection is introduced. The decision framework can substantially facilitate the process of selecting a sensitivity analysis method.

Keywords: sensitivity analysis; microbial food safety process risk model; variability; uncertainty

Document Type: Research article

DOI: 10.1080/10807030590949672

Affiliations: 1: Department of Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, USA

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