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LEADER AGE AND NATIONAL CONDITION: A LONGITUDINAL ANALYSIS OF 25 EUROPEAN MONARCHS

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Abstract:

In order to determine the relationship between age and achievement in the politico-military domain, the reigns of 25 long-tenured European absolute monarchs were - analyzed as cross-sectional time series of 238 5-year age periods. Both linear and curvilinear age functions were defined along with variables to control for individual differences, linear time trends, and other potential artifacts. A partial correlation analysis indicated that leader age tends to be negatively correlated with military success in foreign wars and with treaty negotiation, and positively correlated with civil instability at home, whether in the royal family or in the populace. Moreover, some indicators of military and diplomatic success are curvilinear inverted U-functions of leader age, the peak approximately occurring in the leader's 42nd year.

Document Type: Research Article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.2224/sbp.1984.12.2.111

Publication date: January 1, 1984

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