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Timber Trends on Private Lands in Western Oregon and Washington: A New Look

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Market model projections of private harvest in the Douglas-fir region over the period to 2054 suggest that harvests in western Oregon could be sustained at or above recent levels for the full period with ending inventories at least as high as in 2004. Western Washington, in contrast, may face some harvest reductions, particularly on other private ownerships, as a result of high harvests in the 1980s and continued rapid land loss. Projected silvicultural regimes in both half-states shift toward more use of commercial thinning on all private ownerships. No trend in future log prices is foreseen. In policy simulations, applying Washington's riparian protection policy to western Oregon led to a 4.4% annual private harvest reduction. Extension to intermittent streams in western Washington reduced annual harvest by 1.9%. Quintupling national forest harvest across the region increased annual regional harvest by 3.2% with more than a quarter of the public increment offset by private harvest reductions.
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Keywords: market model; private timberlands; timber supply

Document Type: Research Article

Publication date: 2007-01-01

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  • Each regional journal of applied forestry focuses on research, practice, and techniques targeted to foresters and allied professionals in specific regions of the United States and Canada. The Western Journal of Applied Forestry covers the western United States, including Alaska, and western Canada; WJAF will also consider manuscripts reporting research in northern Mexico that has potential application in the southwestern United States.
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