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Softwood Timber Supply and the Future of the Southern Forest Economy

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Fifty-year projections of the Southern forest economy suggest that in the period prior to 2015, nonindustrial owner-ships will be unable to sustain past growth in softwood harvest. Harvest could expand dramatically in later years, however, if the high rates of plantation establishment observed during the 1980s are maintained into the next century. Industrial harvest will continue to rise, but cannot increase fast enough to offset the nonindustrial shortfall. Sawtimber stumpage prices will rise sharply over the period to 2015 and stabilize or decline thereafter. Higher rates of planting influence only the later portion of this projection. Prospects of higher rates of recycled fiber use in U.S. paper and board production could have dramatic implications for the adequacy of Southern timber supply and sharply reduce stumpage price growth in both the near- and long-term. South. J. Appl. For. 15(1):31-37.

Document Type: Journal Article

Affiliations: USDA Forest Service, PNW Research Station, PO Box 3890, Portland, OR 97208

Publication date: 1991-02-01

More about this publication?
  • Each regional journal of applied forestry focuses on research, practice, and techniques targeted to foresters and allied professionals in specific regions of the United States and Canada. The Southern Journal of Applied Forestry covers an area from Virginia and Kentucky south to as far west as Oklahoma and east Texas.
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