A Forecast of Lumber Demand
By analyzing the major influences on lumber consumption in the past and projecting the trends into the future, the author forecasts the demand for the next building cycle (18 years). The peak of the cycle is expected in 1952 or 1953; the trough, 10 years later. A comparison of the central period of the cycle with that of the prewar cycle leads to the expectation of a 3.6-percent decrease in domestic lumber consumption, but a 5-percent increase in total lumber production.
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Document Type: Journal Article
Affiliations: Economist, Appalachian Forest Experiment Station, Asheville, N. C., Senior member, S.A.F.
Publication date: 1946-07-01
2016 Impact Factor: 1.675 (Rank 20/64 in forestry)
Average time from submission to first decision: 39.6 days*
June 1, 2016 to Feb. 28, 2017
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