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A Forecast of Lumber Demand

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By analyzing the major influences on lumber consumption in the past and projecting the trends into the future, the author forecasts the demand for the next building cycle (18 years). The peak of the cycle is expected in 1952 or 1953; the trough, 10 years later. A comparison of the central period of the cycle with that of the prewar cycle leads to the expectation of a 3.6-percent decrease in domestic lumber consumption, but a 5-percent increase in total lumber production.

Document Type: Journal Article

Affiliations: Economist, Appalachian Forest Experiment Station, Asheville, N. C., Senior member, S.A.F.

Publication date: July 1, 1946

More about this publication?
  • The Journal of Forestry is the most widely circulated scholarly forestry journal in the world. In print since 1902, the Journal has received several national awards for excellence. The mission of the Journal of Forestry is to advance the profession of forestry by keeping forest management professionals informed about significant developments and ideas in the many facets of forestry: economics, education and communication, entomology and pathology, fire, forest ecology, geospatial technologies, history, international forestry, measurements, policy, recreation, silviculture, social sciences, soils and hydrology, urban and community forestry, utilization and engineering, and wildlife management. The Journal is published bimonthly: January, March, May, July, September, and November.
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