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Statistical Causation and National Forest Policy in Oregon

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Granger causality tests are used to examine the relationships among macroeconomic variables, harvests, forestry sector employment, and national forest policy in Oregon. Statistical causation is found to run generally from macroeconomic variables to forestry employment, to harvests and to national forest policy. These findings raise questions about the validity of using national forest harvest policy to effect employment and community stability objectives. For. Sci. 42(1):86-92.

Keywords: Granger causality; community stability; employment; harvest policy; regional economics

Document Type: Journal Article

Affiliations: Professor, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California-Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720

Publication date: February 1, 1996

More about this publication?
  • Forest Science is a peer-reviewed journal publishing fundamental and applied research that explores all aspects of natural and social sciences as they apply to the function and management of the forested ecosystems of the world. Topics include silviculture, forest management, biometrics, economics, entomology & pathology, fire & fuels management, forest ecology, genetics & tree improvement, geospatial technologies, harvesting & utilization, landscape ecology, operations research, forest policy, physiology, recreation, social sciences, soils & hydrology, and wildlife management.
    Forest Science is published bimonthly in February, April, June, August, October, and December.

    2015 Impact Factor: 1.702
    Ranking: 16 of 66 in forestry

    Also published by SAF:
    Journal of Forestry
    Other SAF Publications
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