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Statistical Causation and National Forest Policy in Oregon

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Granger causality tests are used to examine the relationships among macroeconomic variables, harvests, forestry sector employment, and national forest policy in Oregon. Statistical causation is found to run generally from macroeconomic variables to forestry employment, to harvests and to national forest policy. These findings raise questions about the validity of using national forest harvest policy to effect employment and community stability objectives. For. Sci. 42(1):86-92.

Keywords: Granger causality; community stability; employment; harvest policy; regional economics

Document Type: Journal Article

Affiliations: Professor, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California-Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720

Publication date: February 1, 1996

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