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A World Model of the Demand for Paper and Paperboard

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The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate econometric models describing the long-term development of demand for paper products, which could be used for simulation, policy evaluation, and long-term projections, on a global scale as well as for regions and individual countries. The study is intended to cover a relatively large sample of countries on varying levels of economic development. This means, however, that the availability of data sets rather restrictive limits on the model building. The basic approach in this paper is the same as that by Buongiorno (1978). The final model chosen here for projections and simulations of demand is, however, somewhat different from Buongiorno's model. In addition, a number of alternative model specifications were explored and evaluated. For. Sci. 33(1): 185-196.

Keywords: Econometrics; data sets

Document Type: Journal Article

Affiliations: Trade Union Institute for Economic Research, Wallingatan 38, S-11124, Stockholm, Sweden

Publication date: March 1, 1987

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