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The Declining Even Flow Effect--Non Sequitur of National Forest Planning

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The traditional concept of sustained yield has evolved into the more rigid notion of even flow for timber harvest regulation on national forests. Combination of an even flow constraint with a wealth-maximizing objective function in current formulations of the forest planning model can lead to an anomaly, dubbed the declining even flow effect (DEFE), when the national forest planning process is repeated periodically as required by law. When the effect occurs, first-decade harvests fall during successive planning cycles. The cause lies in both the redefinition of the even flow constraint that occurs at successive planning cycles and the assumptions associated with a capital efficiency objective function that are violated when an even flow constraint is imposed. Forest Sci. 32:960-972.

Keywords: Linear programming; forest planning; harvest scheduling; sustained yield

Document Type: Journal Article

Affiliations: Associate Professor of Forest Management, School of Forestry, University of Montana, Missoula 59812

Publication date: 1986-12-01

More about this publication?
  • Forest Science is a peer-reviewed journal publishing fundamental and applied research that explores all aspects of natural and social sciences as they apply to the function and management of the forested ecosystems of the world. Topics include silviculture, forest management, biometrics, economics, entomology & pathology, fire & fuels management, forest ecology, genetics & tree improvement, geospatial technologies, harvesting & utilization, landscape ecology, operations research, forest policy, physiology, recreation, social sciences, soils & hydrology, and wildlife management.
    Forest Science is published bimonthly in February, April, June, August, October, and December.

    2015 Impact Factor: 1.702
    Ranking: 16 of 66 in forestry

    Average time from submission to first decision: 62.5 days*
    June 1, 2016 to Feb. 28, 2017

    Also published by SAF:
    Journal of Forestry
    Other SAF Publications
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