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Estimating and Valuing Western Pine Beetle Impacts

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A tree growth and mortality model was developed to simulate timber production with and without tree mortality caused by the western pine beetle, Dendroctonus brevicomis LeConte. Stumpage value at time of harvest was discounted back to the time of mortality. A logging cost model was used to estimate revenue generated from salvaging killed trees. These values were assembled to estimate the value at risk from western pine beetle-caused tree mortality. Simulated estimates of beetle impact were affected by interest rate, time of final harvest, spatial aggregation of mortality, and distribution of mortality in relation to tree diameter and stand density. The model developed here simplified certain biological relationships. Its development highlighted the lack of quantitative data on biological factors affecting western pine beetle impact. Forest Sci. 32:325-338.
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Keywords: Coleoptera: Scolytidae; Dendroctonus brevicomis; bark beetle; economics; tree mortality

Document Type: Journal Article

Affiliations: Professor, Division of Entomology and Parasitology, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720

Publication date: 1986-06-01

More about this publication?
  • Forest Science is a peer-reviewed journal publishing fundamental and applied research that explores all aspects of natural and social sciences as they apply to the function and management of the forested ecosystems of the world. Topics include silviculture, forest management, biometrics, economics, entomology & pathology, fire & fuels management, forest ecology, genetics & tree improvement, geospatial technologies, harvesting & utilization, landscape ecology, operations research, forest policy, physiology, recreation, social sciences, soils & hydrology, and wildlife management.
    Forest Science is published bimonthly in February, April, June, August, October, and December.

    2016 Impact Factor: 1.782 (Rank 17/64 in forestry)

    Average time from submission to first decision: 62.5 days*
    June 1, 2016 to Feb. 28, 2017

    Also published by SAF:
    Journal of Forestry
    Other SAF Publications
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