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A Spruce Budworm-Forest Model and Its Implications for Suppression Programs

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A spruce budworm and balsam fir simulation model is developed and compared with an earlier model in terms of their ability to reproduce unmanaged budworm outbreak behavior. Problems with the earlier model are identified and discussed. The new model suggests that the forest protection policy which has been used in Maine and New Brunswick is inferior to alternative low egg-density-threshold policies. Forest Sci. 30:597-615.

Keywords: Choristoneura fumiferana; Lepidoptera Tortricidae; balsam fir; model validation; simulation modelling

Document Type: Journal Article

Affiliations: Associate Professor, Department of Environmental Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14853

Publication date: September 1, 1984

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