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Decision Analysis of Silvicultural Prescriptions and Fuel Management Practices on an Intensively Managed Commercial Forest

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The interactions between timber and fuel management activities suggest that decisions regarding these activities should be considered jointly. A decision analytic approach is used to identify important interactions and develop a general model integrating the natural processes, economic factors, and management activities central to these classes of decisions. The model and analytical process are demonstrated in a case-study application to a 2,800-ha plantation on the Stanislaus National Forest, where the most intensive of six treatment combinations examined--thinning and weeding the entire plantation combined with complete fuel treatment--is preferred on the basis of net present value. Sensitivity analysis is used to evaluate the impact of uncertainties in data and model assumptions. The approach is potentially useful in a variety of forest situations. Forest Sci. 29:858-870.

Keywords: Forest fuels; activity planning; decision analysis; resource modeling

Document Type: Journal Article

Affiliations: Research Forester, Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, 240 West Prospect Street, Fort Collins, CO 80526

Publication date: 1983-12-01

More about this publication?
  • Forest Science is a peer-reviewed journal publishing fundamental and applied research that explores all aspects of natural and social sciences as they apply to the function and management of the forested ecosystems of the world. Topics include silviculture, forest management, biometrics, economics, entomology & pathology, fire & fuels management, forest ecology, genetics & tree improvement, geospatial technologies, harvesting & utilization, landscape ecology, operations research, forest policy, physiology, recreation, social sciences, soils & hydrology, and wildlife management.
    Forest Science is published bimonthly in February, April, June, August, October, and December.

    2015 Impact Factor: 1.702
    Ranking: 16 of 66 in forestry

    Average time from submission to first decision: 62.5 days*
    June 1, 2016 to Feb. 28, 2017

    Also published by SAF:
    Journal of Forestry
    Other SAF Publications
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