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Forest Succession Models: A Rationale and Methodology for Modeling Forest Succession over Large Regions

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The modeling methodology includes recognition of cover-states which are similar to successional stages. The general form of the model is ordinary linear differential equations using considerations of stand dynamics and sylvics to determine rates of change. Output from an example model for 250 years of succession in the western Great Lakes Region in the absence of fire, epidemics, and management is presented and discussed. Changes in the model necessary to include management, fire, and epidemics are indicated. The conditions under which the model should simulate succession are stated explicitly. Forest Sci. 19:203-212.
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Keywords: Differential equation model; Michigan forest; regional simulator; successional turnover rate

Document Type: Journal Article

Affiliations: Coniferous Forest Biome, International Biological Program, Peavy Hall, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon 97331

Publication date: 1973-09-01

More about this publication?
  • Forest Science is a peer-reviewed journal publishing fundamental and applied research that explores all aspects of natural and social sciences as they apply to the function and management of the forested ecosystems of the world. Topics include silviculture, forest management, biometrics, economics, entomology & pathology, fire & fuels management, forest ecology, genetics & tree improvement, geospatial technologies, harvesting & utilization, landscape ecology, operations research, forest policy, physiology, recreation, social sciences, soils & hydrology, and wildlife management.
    Forest Science is published bimonthly in February, April, June, August, October, and December.

    2016 Impact Factor: 1.782 (Rank 17/64 in forestry)

    Average time from submission to first decision: 62.5 days*
    June 1, 2016 to Feb. 28, 2017

    Also published by SAF:
    Journal of Forestry
    Other SAF Publications
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