Forest Succession Models: A Rationale and Methodology for Modeling Forest Succession over Large Regions

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The modeling methodology includes recognition of cover-states which are similar to successional stages. The general form of the model is ordinary linear differential equations using considerations of stand dynamics and sylvics to determine rates of change. Output from an example model for 250 years of succession in the western Great Lakes Region in the absence of fire, epidemics, and management is presented and discussed. Changes in the model necessary to include management, fire, and epidemics are indicated. The conditions under which the model should simulate succession are stated explicitly. Forest Sci. 19:203-212.

Keywords: Differential equation model; Michigan forest; regional simulator; successional turnover rate

Document Type: Journal Article

Affiliations: Coniferous Forest Biome, International Biological Program, Peavy Hall, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon 97331

Publication date: September 1, 1973

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