Estimating Wood Consumption with Particular Reference to the Effects of Income and Wood Availability
Author: Gregory, G. R.
Source: Forest Science, Volume 12, Number 1, 1 March 1966 , pp. 104-117(14)
Publisher: Society of American Foresters
Abstract:The general problem of estimating future national needs for wood is presented and the economic rationale for such estimates developed through discussion of several models. A consumption model is given, then quantified through regression by means of sawnwood consumption data from 53 nations. Cross-sectional analyses are also presented for Europe and Latin America, and for high and low income groups. Income, and an index of wood availability, are shown to be associated with a large part of the variance in industrial wood consumption. Elasticities of wood consumption with respect to both income and to wood availability are presented. Any assumption of constant elasticity of wood consumption with respect to income is shown to be at best dubious.
Document Type: Journal Article
Affiliations: Professor of Resource Economics, Dept. of Forestry, School of Natural Resources, The University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
Publication date: 1966-03-01
- Forest Science is a peer-reviewed journal publishing fundamental and applied research that explores all aspects of natural and social sciences as they apply to the function and management of the forested ecosystems of the world. Topics include silviculture, forest management, biometrics, economics, entomology & pathology, fire & fuels management, forest ecology, genetics & tree improvement, geospatial technologies, harvesting & utilization, landscape ecology, operations research, forest policy, physiology, recreation, social sciences, soils & hydrology, and wildlife management.
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