Measuring the returns to education nonparametrically

Author: Ulrick, Shawn

Source: Applied Economics Letters, Volume 14, Number 13, October 2007 , pp. 1005-1011(7)

Publisher: Routledge, part of the Taylor & Francis Group

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Abstract:

This article uses a nonparametric model of earnings to measure the returns to education. Under very general smoothness conditions, a nonparametric estimator reveals the true shape of the earnings profiles up to random sampling error. Thus, the nonparametric model should provide better predictions than its parametric counterpart. We find that the nonparametric model predicts very different estimated returns than standard Mincer formulations. Depending on the experience and education level, returns measured in log earnings estimated from nonparametric model can be nearly twice those obtained from the Mincer model. Finally, this article examines what structural features parametric models should include.

Document Type: Research article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13504850600706198

Affiliations: 1: US Federal Trade Commission, Washington, DC 20580, USA

Publication date: 2007-10-01

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