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The MDGs and exit time: the case of the Philippines

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This article evaluates whether the Philippines will be able to halve the incidence of poverty between 1990 and 2015. Using the concept of exit time and household‐level data, we find that the Philippines as a whole will not be able to comply with Target 1 of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), although 15 of its provinces will be able to do so. These provinces are closer to Manila, characterized by higher per capita expenditure growth rates, and had lower incidence of poverty in 1988. This suggests the importance of policies to mitigate the regional disparity in achieving the MDGs.

Keywords: 132; Asia and the Philippines; MDGs; O53; exit time; poverty

Document Type: Research Article


Affiliations: 1: Faculty of Economics,University of Tokyo, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan 2: Foundation for Advanced Studies on International Development, Tokyo 106-8677, Japan

Publication date: September 1, 2012

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