The role of monetary shocks and real shocks on the current account, the terms of trade and the real exchange rate dynamics: a SVAR analysis

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Abstract:

The article is an empirical investigation of the role of monetary shocks and real shocks on the current account, the terms of trade and the real exchange rate dynamics. Three new open economy macro-economics (NOEM) models are studied to motivate the empirical investigation. Then I apply the Blanchard-Quah decomposition to identify a SVAR model. The empirical evidence supports the NOEM model with the simplified household preference specification and with the small degree of pricing-to-market. The evidence also illustrates monetary shocks important for the real exchange rate and the terms of trade movements, but not for the current account fluctuations.

Document Type: Research Article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036840701721034

Affiliations: United Nations Development Programme and San Francisco State Univeristy, Office of Development Studies, United Nations Development Programme, New York, NY 10017

Publication date: July 1, 2009

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