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Seasonal fractional components in macroeconomic time series

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Abstract:

Seasonal fractional models are shown in this article to be alternative credible ways of modelling the seasonal component in macroeconomic time series. A testing procedure that allows one to test different orders of integration at zero and at each of the seasonal frequencies is described. This procedure is then applied to the Italian consumption and income series, the results being very sensitive to the way of modelling the I(0) disturbances.

Document Type: Research Article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/0003684042000260456

Publication date: July 1, 2004

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