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Dynamics of the yen-dollar real exchange rate and the US-Japan real trade balance

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Abstract:

This paper employs cointegration and error correction models to examine the dynamics of the yen-dollar real exchange rate and the US-Japan real trade balance. It uses quarterly data from 1973.I-1993.IV. The unit root tests reveal non-stationarity in both the variables. The ADF test fails to affirm any long-run association between the yen-dollar real exchange rate and the US-Japan real trade balance. Also, there is evidence of bidirectional short-run Granger causality between these two variables with mutual feedbacks.

Document Type: Research Article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/000368497326868

Publication date: May 1, 1997

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