Electoral politics: Does globalisation matter?

Authors: Vowles, Jack¹; Bean, Clive²

Source: Australian Journal of Political Science, Volume 41, Number 2, June 2006 , pp. 273-288(16)

Publisher: Routledge, part of the Taylor & Francis Group

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Abstract:

In terms of conventional economic indicators, New Zealand is more globalised than Australia. Two sets of theoretically derived propositions are tested compared to a null hypothesis of no effects: the first, that globalisation will reduce the reality and/or the perceptions of electoral choice, and the second based on the assumption that it may change but not necessarily reduce the effects of those parameters. With data from Australian and New Zealand Election Studies from 1996 onwards, and using multivariate logit models, we test the effects of economic voting, and the ideological salience of Left–Right issues, notably welfare and tax policy, and the extent to which opposition to aspects of globalisation might mobilise support for political parties. We find little support for the argument that New Zealand electoral politics should reflect globalisation influences more strongly than Australian electoral politics. To the extent that the evidence does appear to confirm any aspects of the two propositions, it is commonly the more moderate effects associated with the second proposition that are supported.

Document Type: Research article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10361140600672485

Affiliations: 1: University of Auckland 2: Queensland University of Technology

Publication date: 2006-06-01

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