A Le Pen Vote Function for the 2002 Presidential Election: A Way to Reduce Uncertainty

Authors: Jérôme B.; Jérôme-Speziari V.

Source: French Politics, Volume 1, Number 2, July 2003 , pp. 247-251(5)

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Abstract:

Since 1984, the unknown factor in French political life has been the support for the National Front. More than ever, on April 21, 2002, the leader of the FN, Jean-Marie Le Pen demonstrated. In our research note, we try to explain the way of reducing uncertainty in building and forecasting a FN vote function (pooled time series) from decentralized economic and political data. Undeniably, the support for the FN varies across regions in a more subtle way than might have been expected.French Politics (2003) 1, 247–251. doi:10.1057/palgrave.fp.8200036

Document Type: Research article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.fp.8200036

Affiliations: 1: 1Département de Sciences Economiques, University of Metz, Ile du Saulcy BP 80794, F-57012 Metz, Cedex 01, France, Email: bruno.jerome@libertysurf.fr

Publication date: 2003-07-01