IngentaConnect Knowledge-based time-critical dynamic decision modelling

Authors: Xiang Y.P.¹; Poh K.L.¹; Correspondence

Source: Journal of the Operational Research Society, Volume 53, Number 1, 1 January 2002 , pp. 79-87(9)

Abstract:

Recent interests in dynamic decision modelling have led to the development of several representation and inference methods. These methods however, have limited application under time-critical conditions where a trade-off between model quality and computational tractability is essential. This paper presents a knowledge-based approach to time-critical dynamic decision modelling. A knowledge representation and modelling method, called the time-critical dynamic influence diagram, is proposed. The proposed approach has the ability to represent space-temporal abstraction in dynamic decision models. Several algorithms from different classes for solving time-critical dynamic influence diagrams are described. A knowledge-based meta-reasoning approach is proposed for the purpose of selecting the best abstracted model and algorithm that provide the optimal trade-off between model quality and model tractability. The approach is applied to solve a time-critical medical decision problem. An outline of the knowledge-based model construction procedure is also provided.

Journal of the Operational Research Society (2002) 53, 79–87. DOI: 10.1057/palgrave/jors/2601241

Keywords: decision analysis; decision support systems; artificial intelligence; problem structuring; model construction

Document Type: Miscellaneous

Affiliations: 1: National University of Singapore, Singapore

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