A non-linear model for a sexually transmitted disease with contact tracing

Authors: de Arazoza H.; Lounes R.

Source: IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology, Volume 19, Number 3, September 2002 , pp. 221-234(14)

Publisher: Oxford University Press

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Abstract:

A non-linear model is developed for an epidemic with contact tracing, and its dynamic is studied. We present the data for the Cuban HIV/AIDS epidemic and fit the non-linear model, we obtain estimates for the size of the Cuban HIV epidemic, and for the mean time for detecting a person that is infected with HIV.

Keywords: HIV/AIDS epidemic; contact tracing; epidemic control; deterministic model

Document Type: Research article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/imammb/19.3.221

Affiliations: 1: Université René Descartes, Laboratoire de Statistique Médicale, équipe MAP5, FRE CNRS 2428, 45 rue des Saints-Pères 75270 Paris cedex 06, France

Publication date: 2002-09-01