Assessment and recommendations
Abstract:The global financial crisis had a significant impact on the Russian economy and its labour market. The cumulative output loss during the recession was almost 11% in the Russian Federation, considerably larger than the equivalent output loss of almost 5% for the OECD as a whole. The impact of the crisis is even larger taking into account the high growth rates in the Russian Federation prior to the crisis. Indeed, the cumulative growth loss ‐ comparing the loss in output with the growth in output that would have occurred in the absence of the crisis ‐ is estimated to be 19% in the Russian Federation versus 8% in the OECD area. An economic recovery has been underway since the third quarter of 2009, with declining unemployment and a positive real wage growth. The latest OECD projections expect growth to be around 4 to 5% in 2010 and 2011.
Document Type: Review Article
Publication date: December 1, 2011