The use of dynamic landscape metapopulation models for forest management: a case study of the red-backed salamander
Abstract:Spatial models of population dynamics have been proposed as a useful method for predicting the impacts of environmental change on biodiversity. Here, we demonstrate advances in dynamic landscape metapopulation modelling and its use as a decision support tool for evaluating the impacts of forest management scenarios. This novel modelling framework incorporates both landscape and metapopulation model stochasticity and allows their relative contributions to model output variance to be characterized. It includes a detailed sensitivity analysis, allowing defensible uncertainty bounds and the prioritization of future data gathering to reduce model uncertainties. We demonstrate this framework by modelling the landscape-level impacts of eight forest management scenarios on the red-backed salamander (
Document Type: Research Article
Affiliations: 1: School of Global Studies, Social Science and Planning, RMIT University, G.P.O. Box 2476, Melbourne 3001, Victoria, Australia. 2: School of Botany, University of Melbourne, 3010, Victoria, Australia. 3: Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, 1219 Queen St. East, Sault Ste Marie, ON P6A 2E5, Canada.
Publication date: 2012-06-08
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