Modeling long-term tree growth curves in response to warming climate: test cases from a subtropical mountain forest and a tropical rainforest in Mexico
Abstract:The Earth’s temperature has increased 0.6 °C over the last 100 years, and further climate change is predicted to potentially raise it by 3.5 °C over the next century. More than half of the global annual net primary production of biomass is estimated to occur in the tropics, especially tropical evergreen forest. In temperate forests, increasing temperature may extend the non-frost growing season, and thus increase the CO2 sequestration rate, but some authors have also suggested a negative impact of warming in tropical forests from decreased photosynthetic activity. Using the PL model (Ricker and del Río 2004), we forecast growth of two Mexican tree species after climate warming. The model predicts the high-mountain species
Document Type: Research Article
Publication date: 2007-05-03
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