A Formal Model of Stabilization and Reconstruction Operations

Authors: Abdollahian, Mark; Nicholson, Brice L.; Nickens, Matthew; Baranick, Michael

Source: Military Operations Research, Volume 14, Number 3, 2009 , pp. 5-30(26)

Publisher: Military Operations Research Society

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Abstract:

We present a formal model of post-conflict stabilization and reconstruction operations. Following an overview of the relevant nation building literature, we specify a closed system of nonlinear, first order, non-autonomous differential equations into a Formal Stabilization & Reconstruction Operations Model (FSROM). Subsequently, the model is empirically tested with panel data from six S&R operations in the latter half of the 20th century using seemingly unrelated regression estimation (SURE) techniques to derive coefficient estimates for post-conflict nation building. We also provide qualitative assessments of our model fit from a case study perspective. The FSROM is then applied to current Operation Iraqi Freedom S&R actions. Our initial FSROM efforts indicate that future research should focus on increasing the temporal & geospatial resolution of specified variables as well as adding more operationally relevant factors.

Document Type: Research Article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5711/morj.14.3.5

Publication date: September 1, 2009

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  • Military Operations Research is the leading peer-reviewed journal publishing articles in the fields that describe operations research (OR) methodologies and theories used in key military applications.

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