A Formal Model of Stabilization and Reconstruction Operations

Authors: Abdollahian, Mark; Nicholson, Brice L.; Nickens, Matthew; Baranick, Michael

Source: Military Operations Research, Volume 14, Number 3, 2009 , pp. 5-30(26)

Publisher: Military Operations Research Society

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We present a formal model of post-conflict stabilization and reconstruction operations. Following an overview of the relevant nation building literature, we specify a closed system of nonlinear, first order, non-autonomous differential equations into a Formal Stabilization & Reconstruction Operations Model (FSROM). Subsequently, the model is empirically tested with panel data from six S&R operations in the latter half of the 20th century using seemingly unrelated regression estimation (SURE) techniques to derive coefficient estimates for post-conflict nation building. We also provide qualitative assessments of our model fit from a case study perspective. The FSROM is then applied to current Operation Iraqi Freedom S&R actions. Our initial FSROM efforts indicate that future research should focus on increasing the temporal & geospatial resolution of specified variables as well as adding more operationally relevant factors.

Document Type: Research Article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5711/morj.14.3.5

Publication date: September 1, 2009

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  • Military Operations Research is the leading peer-reviewed journal publishing articles in the fields that describe operations research (OR) methodologies and theories used in key military applications.

    MOR specifically invites papers that are significant military OR applications. Of particular interest are papers that present case studies showing innovative OR applications, apply OR to major policy issues, introduce interesting new problem areas, highlight educational issues, and document the history of military OR.
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