How Game Theory Fails To Explain Man

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Abstract:

We claim that modeling of human decision making is an Achilles heel in military OR. The paper describes a simple model of an air campaign, formalized as a two-player zero-sum game with strategic uncertainty that features mixed strategy solutions. This game is used for testing game theory's ability to explain human decision-making and learning. Both conceptual and decision-making development as a function of experience with Campaign is measured, and the results indicate negative learning in both respects, except in cases where a deterministic solution exists.
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  • Military Operations Research is the leading peer-reviewed journal publishing articles in the fields that describe operations research (OR) methodologies and theories used in key military applications.

    MOR specifically invites papers that are significant military OR applications. Of particular interest are papers that present case studies showing innovative OR applications, apply OR to major policy issues, introduce interesting new problem areas, highlight educational issues, and document the history of military OR.
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