Skip to main content

Structural variation in genesis and landfall locations of North Atlantic tropical cyclones related to SST

Buy Article:

$43.00 plus tax (Refund Policy)


The influence of sea surface temperature (SST) on the locations of the genesis and of landfall of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic is analyzed. For that purpose, these locations are calculated from HURDAT and split into two disjoint subsets according to whether SST in the North Atlantic was above or below average in the year the corresponding storms occurred. Landfalls are investigated separately for the groups of cyclones categorized as tropical storms, minor hurricanes, or major hurricanes at the moment of landfall. The locations are considered realizations of inhomogeneous Poisson point processes, and the corresponding density functions are estimated with kernel estimation methods. In this way, any spatial structure inherent in the data is taken into account. These density functions are then compared with Monte Carlo methods from spatial statistics, which allows the detection of areas of statistically significant differences in the two sets with high and low SST, respectively. Results show many such areas, which is of relevance for the insurance industry and mathematical modelling of cyclones, as well as for decision support during the preparation for natural disasters.
No References
No Citations
No Supplementary Data
No Data/Media
No Metrics

Document Type: Research Article

Affiliations: 1: Munich Reinsurance Company, 80791 Munich, Germany 2: Ulm University, Institute of Stochastics, 89069 Ulm, Germany

Publication date: 2010-05-01

  • Access Key
  • Free content
  • Partial Free content
  • New content
  • Open access content
  • Partial Open access content
  • Subscribed content
  • Partial Subscribed content
  • Free trial content
Cookie Policy
Cookie Policy
Ingenta Connect website makes use of cookies so as to keep track of data that you have filled in. I am Happy with this Find out more