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The Logic and Illogic of an Israeli Unilateral Preventive Strike on Iran

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Abstract:

The Israeli political leadership has invested massively in preparing a credible preventive strike option on Iran's nuclear program. The article assesses this option in the context of Israel's operational acumen and strategic preferences. It points out to a critical gap between the capacity to achieve the operational objectives and the strategic utility of a preventive strike. It then discusses the logical fallacies underlying Israeli leaders' explanations of how this gap would be overcome, assessing the potential downsides of a strike.

Document Type: Research Article

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3751/71.1.15

Publication date: 2017-12-01

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