Forecasting renewable energy production in the US
Purpose ‐ This paper aims to present a forecast for renewable energy production in the USA. Growth curves are used to conduct the forecasts.
Design/methodology/approach ‐ The analysis is based upon a literature review, supplemented by collection
of secondary data. The study then focuses on applying the Pearl growth curve.
Findings ‐ The authors' results show that biomass energy production is growing the fastest followed by geothermal and wind. Additionally, the forecast for solar energy production shows little
to no growth over the next two decades.
Research limitations/implications ‐ If the US government hopes to achieve its goals in renewable energy, considerable funding and incentives will have to be put forth to accelerate the growth of renewable energy. Since the biomass
technology is already growing nicely it makes sense to put the additional resources behind the other three technologies to close the 10.3 percent gap being forecasted. The government also needs to put more funding into dual renewable plants such as wind or solar combines with pumped hydro,
this will ensure environmental and reliability are both maintained. Finally, for renewable energies to be competitive in the long term, considerable research needs to go into driving down the cost so there is not a need for subsidies.
Originality/value ‐ This study provides
value in providing a forecast for expected future growth for renewable energy sources.