The fall of the Wall, the rise of the BRICs and the new Scramble for Africa

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Abstract:

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to construct a possible future scenario for South Africa in Africa using the backcast approach. Design/methodology/approachThe methodology followed is to present a brief political and economic history of African colonization and de-colonization, globalisation and the rise of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICs). Strengths and weaknesses are discussed and used to sketch a desired future scenario from which the backcast is constructed. FindingsIt is suggested that the optimal future is one involving SADC-MERCOSUR alliance with South Africa and Brazil as the respective leaders Research limitations/implicationsA study of this kind is necessarily speculative. Practical implicationsThe paper alerts policy makers to the threats and opportunities inherent in south-south dialogue. Social implicationsThe prospect of collaboration holds promise of social upliftment in the region. Originality/valueThe arguments are original to the author.

Keywords: Africa; Developing countries; Emerging economies; South Africa

Document Type: Research Article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/14636681111138758

Publication date: May 31, 2011

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