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Forecastability, chaos and foresight

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Abstract:

Roles of leadership in coping with uncertainty are explored in this paper. Through an in-depth, empirically (CEOs of top, ASEAN publicly listed corporations) grounded discussion, the authors argued for the presence of a deep cultural divide between Eastern and Western leaders on coping with uncertainty. In the process, the authors devise a two dimensional, organic versus forecastability model of strategy behavior for polarizing East-West leadership styles. Aspects of the Sun Tzu's Art of War and 5,000 years old, I Ching are discussed with respect to foreknowledge and foresight respectively.

Keywords: Forecasting; Leadership

Document Type: Research Article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/14636680310507280

Publication date: October 15, 2003

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