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how to be rigorous with scenario planning

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In a recent issue of Futuribles, authors from the European Commission's Forward Studies Unit outlined five scenarios for Europe 2010. The scenarios were constructed using the so-called 'shaping actors, shaping factors' method, claimed by the authors as specific to their unit. In this article, Michel Godet reacts to that claim and makes two fundamental criticisms of their methodology.

Document Type: Research Article

Publication date: February 1, 2000

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