Backcasting the future
Author: Roorda N.
Source: International Journal of Sustainability in Higher Education, Volume 2, Number 1, 2001 , pp. 63-76(14)
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Abstract:In this feature article, sustainable development will be discussed, and it will be explained why eco-efficiency will have to be raised with a factor of 20 to achieve sustainability. This can be realised through three trajectories: product improvement, product innovation, and system innovation. The relation with strategic decision making will be shown, and the concept of consequence period will be introduced. As an example, a transportation system in a large city will be discussed. The method of backcasting will be explained, and the consequences of long-term sustainable development for the work of universities and companies will be considered.
Document Type: Technical report
Publication date: 2001-01-01