@article {McLauchlin:2010:0010-4159:333, title = "Loyalty Strategies and Military Defection in Rebellion", journal = "Comparative Politics", parent_itemid = "infobike://cuny/cp", publishercode ="cuny", year = "2010", volume = "42", number = "3", publication date ="2010-03-31T00:00:00", pages = "333-350", itemtype = "ARTICLE", issn = "0010-4159", eissn = "2151-6227", url = "https://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/cuny/cp/2010/00000042/00000003/art00005", doi = "doi:10.5129/001041510X12911363509792", author = "McLauchlin, Theodore", abstract = "Two common strategies for maintaining military loyaltyindividual incentives and ethnic preferenceproduce very different outcomes for defection of government troops when a rebellion arises outside the military. Since a strategy of individual incentives rests on a continuous judgment of regime strength, a rebellion can provoke a self-fulfilling prophecy that the regime will collapse. An ethnic preference policy identifies soldiers as loyal or disloyal based on group identity and gives those soldiers strong incentives to act accordingly. A rebellion by the out-group might generate out-group defection, but not in-group defection. Focusing on information about preferences, these outcomes are illustrated through a comparison of rebellions in Syria, Jordan, and Iran.", }