Planning for Performance Enhancement Technologies: Research Method, Trends, and Forecasts
Author: Halal, William E.
Source: Technology, Volume 11, Number 1, 2008 , pp. 27-35(9)
Publisher: Cognizant Communication Corporation
Abstract:A poorly-understood "Technology Revolution" is underway that is expected to create breakthroughs in all fields of science over the next 20 years or so. This study focuses on how to plan for this coming wave of technological change, with a particular focus on "performance enhancing technologies" using speech recognition, artificial intelligence, speech synthesis, wireless, virtual displays, and thought power. A case study is used (the TechCast Project) to describe how "online research systems" can be used to pool knowledge, and we argue that this approach represents a superior methodology for technology forecasting. Trends are then identified for performance enhancing technologies, and forecasts indicate an "intelligent interface" is likely in about 2010-2015. Although this should prove more powerful in aiding human performance, it will also incur its own drawbacks as well. Based on this information, it is concluded that online research systems today offer a sophisticated approach to planning and managing emerging technologies.
Document Type: Research article
Publication date: 2008-06-01
- The journal Technology is a forum for presentation of information encompassing essentially the entire field of applied sciences. Owing to the broad nature of applied sciences, authors should be guided by the interest of the readers who are likely to be knowledgeable non-specialists.