Why Do Australians, New Zealanders, and Americans Travel to Fiji? Evidence from Cointegration, Unit Roots, and Parameter Stability Tests

Author: Narayan, Paresh Kumar

Source: Tourism Analysis, Volume 9, Number 4, 2005 , pp. 321-341(21)

Publisher: Cognizant Communication Corporation

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Abstract:

The aim of this study was to estimate the demand for Fiji's tourism from its three main source markets—Australia, New Zealand, and the US—using the bounds testing approach to cointegration. Our main finding was that visitor arrivals to Fiji and its key determinants are cointegrated over the 1970-2000 period. We then used the autoregressive distributed lag model to estimate short-run and long-run elasticities and found that income in origin countries, transport costs, and prices were significant determinants of Fiji's tourism demand. We also found that coups negatively impact visitor arrivals from all markets. In testing for parameter stability, we established that the series were integrated of order one in the presence of a structural break. We then used the Hansen test for parameter stability and found that the parameters of our long-run model are stable over time.

Keywords: FIJI TOURISM; COINTEGRATION; PARAMETER STABILITY; BOUNDS TEST

Document Type: Research article

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3727/108354205789807274

Publication date: 2005-01-01

More about this publication?

The aim of Tourism Analysis is to promote a forum for practitioners and academicians in the fields of Leisure, Recreation, Tourism, and Hospitality (LRTH). As a interdisciplinary journal, it is an appropriate outlet for articles, research notes, and computer software packages designed to be of interest, concern, and of applied value to its audience of professionals, scholars, and students of LRTH programs the world over.