Recurrence of preterm birth and perinatal mortality in northern Tanzania: registry‐based cohort study
Authors: Mahande, Michael J.; Daltveit, Anne K.; Obure, Joseph; Mmbaga, Blandina T.; Masenga, Gileard; Manongi, Rachel; Lie, Rolv T.
Source: Tropical Medicine & International Health, Volume 18, Number 8, 1 August 2013 , pp. 962-967(6)
To estimate the recurrence risk of preterm delivery and estimate the perinatal mortality in repeated preterm deliveries.
Prospective study in Tanzania of 18 176 women who delivered a singleton between 2000 and 2008 at KCMC hospital. The women were followed up to 2010 for consecutive births. A total of 3359 women were identified with a total of 3867 subsequent deliveries in the follow‐up period. Recurrence risk of preterm birth and perinatal mortality was estimated using log‐binomial regression and adjusted for potential confounders.
For women with a previous preterm birth, the risk of preterm birth in a subsequent pregnancy was 17%. This recurrence risk was estimated to be 2.7‐fold (95% CI: 2.1–3.4) of the risk of women with a previous term birth. The perinatal mortality of babies in a second preterm birth of the same woman was 15%. Babies born at term who had an older sibling that was born preterm had a perinatal mortality of 10%. Babies born at term who had an older sibling who was also born at term had a perinatal mortality of 1.7%.
Previous delivery of a preterm infant is a strong predictor of future preterm births in Tanzania. Previous or repeated preterm births increase the risk of perinatal death substantially in the subsequent pregnancy.
Document Type: Research Article
Publication date: August 1, 2013