Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Agricultural Trade

Authors: Cho, Guedae¹; Sheldon, Ian M.²; McCorriston, Steve

Source: American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Volume 84, Number 4, November 2002 , pp. 931-942(12)

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Abstract:

Using a sample of bilateral trade flows across ten developed countries between 1974 and 1995, this article explores the effect of exchange rate uncertainty on the growth of agricultural trade as compared to other sectors. Based on a gravity model that controls for other factors likely to determine bilateral trade, the results show that real exchange rate uncertainty has had a significant negative effect on agricultural trade over this period. Moreover, the negative impact of uncertainty on agricultural trade has been more significant compared to other sectors.

Document Type: Research article

DOI: 10.1111/1467-8276.00044

Affiliations: 1: , The Ohio State University 2: , University of Exeter, UK